The probability that NBER will someday determine a national recession began in the US between December 2025 and December 2026 ...

Stagflation looks increasingly likely in 2026 as the economy looks on track to grow below-trend while inflation runs ...

Our annual ranking returns ...

Demand for professional Santas and other seasonal workers seems to have cooled. Could that be a sign we're in a recession?

On paper, the United States is in solid shape, with steady growth, low headline unemployment and resilient corporate profits. Yet for millions of households, the day-to-day experience feels closer to ...

Markets are pricing in a near-perfect 2026. But what if consensus is wrong? Here are five contrarian economic bets investors ...

The headline numbers say the United States is still growing, yet daily life feels like a grind of higher prices, fragile jobs ...

For weeks, stock markets have been falling, and the plunge accelerated after President Donald Trump on April 2 unveiled U.S. tariffs on virtually every country. Several things tend to happen in ...

A recession as a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, according to the International Monetary Fund. Most commentators and analysts use, ...

The U.S. hosts the 2026 World Cup, but data shows mega-events seldom lift GDP. Markets see a one-in-three recession risk.

The economic outlook has become increasingly fragile as the first half of 2025 unfolds. President Trump’s sweeping tariffs on U.S. imports have added a hefty dose of risk to an already volatile ...

Some pros are beginning to declare that a recession is coming soon. Mark Zandi, Moody’s Analytics chief economist, tweeted on Friday that the U.S. economy “has entered a jobs recession” and told ...